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Area 45: Ed Lazear Assesses The Trump Economy

interview with Edward Paul Lazearvia Area 45
Wednesday, August 14, 2019

What might happen with tariffs, trade, currency manipulation, interest rates, employment, immigration, and the economy over the next year.

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Pacific Century: Richard McGregor, The Party, And Pushback Against Xi Jinping? Also, South Korea And Japan Trade War Heats Up

interview with Richard McGregor, Michael R. Auslin, John Yoovia The Pacific Century
Monday, August 12, 2019

Author Richard McGregor discusses what keeps Xi Jinping on top, but is Xi facing a fall?

In the News

The Bond Market Has A Message For The Fed: You’re Not In Charge Anymore

quoting John H. Cochranevia Fortune
Tuesday, August 6, 2019

So much for looking to the Fed for salvation. On July 31 at the Federal Reserve's regular post-meeting press briefing, Chairman Powell announced a widely expected 25 basis points cut in the benchmark rate to 2.25%, the first reduction in over a decade.

In the News

Britain’s Uncertain Future

mentioning Thomas Sowellvia City Journal
Monday, July 29, 2019

As new prime minister Boris Johnson prepares to take Great Britain out of the EU, his political opponents remain out of touch with the country they represent.

In the News

Aspen Institute Panel: Rosy Economic Picture Masks Potential Problems

quoting Kevin Warshvia Aspen Daily News
Monday, July 29, 2019

Though the U.S. economy is in excellent shape right now, problems could be lurking on the horizon, an Aspen Institute panel generally concluded on Sunday afternoon.


Raghuram Rajan On Prospects For A World Recession

interview with Raghuram Rajanvia BBC News
Monday, July 22, 2019

Hoover Institution fellow Raghuram Rajan says trade friction between the US and China and the prospects of Brexit have helped damage business confidence, but it was not clear yet whether this would lead to a recession.

Analysis and Commentary

The Pros And Cons Of Trump’s Tariffs On Chinese Products

by Alvin Rabushkavia Thoughtful Ideas
Monday, July 22, 2019

In July-August 2018, President Trump imposed 25% tariffs on $50 billion of Chinese high-tech goods imported into the United States.  He followed in September with 10% tariffs on another $200 billion of Chinese products, which he subsequently raised to 25% on May 10, 2019.  The additional $200 billion of Chinese imports included lamps, air conditioners, vacuums, personal grooming items, handbags, raincoats, knitted hats, baseball gloves, headgear, bicycles, tuna, halibut, salmon, pears, dog leashes, collars, harnesses, diaries, toilet paper, tobacco, hammers, faucets, screwdrivers, and other consumer goods.

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“China Will Reclaim Its Greatness”

by Andy Fitch interview with Elizabeth Economyvia Hoover Digest
Tuesday, July 16, 2019

China expert Elizabeth C. Economy analyzes a “third revolution” and a second coming: that of Mao Zedong, in the form of Xi Jinping.

In the News

Raghuram Rajan Joins Chorus Of Opposition Against Government's Overseas Debt Plan

quoting Raghuram Rajanvia Money Control
Tuesday, July 16, 2019

The ex-RBI chair questioned the government’s argument that raising part of its gross borrowing from overseas markets would ensure enough domestic credit for the private sector.

In the News

Modi Govt’s Plan To Sell Foreign Bonds Has No Real Benefit, Says Raghuram Rajan

quoting Raghuram Rajanvia The Print
Saturday, July 13, 2019

Raghuram Rajan said that global bond sale won’t reduce the amount of domestic government bonds the local market has to absorb.


Economic Policy Working Group

The Working Group on Economic Policy brings together experts on economic and financial policy to study key developments in the U.S. and global economies, examine their interactions, and develop specific policy proposals.

Milton and Rose Friedman: An Uncommon Couple