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In the News

Peter Thiel “50-80% Chance Bitcoin Prices Will Fall”

quoting Niall Fergusonvia Koinalert
Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Peter Theil believes that there is 50-80% chance that the prices of Bitcoin will go down. The prices, Thiel claims, can go down to such an extent that it will make the Bitcoin useless for all intent and purpose. But he also claimed that there is 20-50% chance that the prices can go up in the near future. Theil was surely betting against the Bitcoin this time. He said that he was not sure that he would suggest people to run out right now and buy these cryptocurrencies.

2nd Research Conference of the Macroeconomic Modelling and Model Comparison Network (MMCN)

Thursday, June 7, 2018 to Friday, June 8, 2018
Hoover Institution, Stanford University

The Macroeconomic Modelling and Model Comparison Network is a new research network under the auspices of the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) in London and is a part of the new Macroeconomic Model Comparison Initiative (MMCI) by the Hoover Institution at Stanford University and the Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) at Goethe University Frankfurt. The MMCI initiative is supported financially by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation. 

In the News

The Real China Threat Is That Its People Are Talented

quoting Niall Fergusonvia Real Clear Markets
Wednesday, May 30, 2018

For some time I have believed that our biggest concern about China should be not a possible trade war or military conflict, but the threat posed to the economic leadership of the United States by the rapid progress the country is making in technology.

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Area 45: Anticipating Global Insecurity With Amy Zegart

interview with Amy Zegartvia Area 45
Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Lessons learned in keeping cargo planes moving, hotel guests protected – and possibly coffee customers better served. 

Analysis and Commentary

Lessons Of The ELB

by John H. Cochrane via Grumpy Economist
Tuesday, May 29, 2018

I gave a short presentation on monetary policy at the Nobel Symposium run by the Swedish House of Finance.

In the News

Fed Officials Are Basically Born With Their Beliefs, Study Finds

quoting Michael D. Bordovia Market Watch
Tuesday, May 29, 2018

Study examines gender, religion and education backgrounds of Fed officials since the 1960s.


National And International Monetary Reform

by John B. Taylorvia PolicyEd
Tuesday, May 29, 2018

Recent deviations from sound, rules-based monetary policy have led to an uneven economic recovery. The Federal Reserve should return to a rules-based monetary policy in order to promote economic growth and stability.

Analysis and Commentary

The Scary Economics Of Illegal Fentanyl

by David R. Hendersonvia EconLog
Tuesday, May 29, 2018

The opioids as a class have what is known as a "narrow therapeutic window," where the "window" is the range between the median effective dose (ED50) - the dose that's has the desired effect in half the population - and the median lethal dose (LD50). The larger the LD50/ED50 ratio (the wider the "window") the safer the drug will be in terms of overdose risk.


America’s Exploding Budget Deficit

by Martin Feldsteinvia Project Syndicate
Tuesday, May 29, 2018

The federal government’s debt has risen from less than 40% of GDP a decade ago to 78% now, and the Congressional Budget Office predicts that the ratio will rise to 96% in 2028. While many blame the tax cuts enacted last year, the real reason lies elsewhere.

Bank Vault
In the News

Crises Past And Future Occupy World’s Greatest Economic Minds

quoting Raghuram Rajanvia Bloomberg
Monday, May 28, 2018

The talk was all about crises -- both past and future -- as some of the world’s leading economists gathered at a conference over the weekend. While former Federal Reserve chair Ben S. Bernanke and University of California at Berkeley Professor Barry Eichengreen used presentations at a Nobel Symposium in Stockholm to address the implications and effects of past financial turbulence, others cast a wary eye on the next episode.


Economic Policy Working Group

The Working Group on Economic Policy brings together experts on economic and financial policy to study key developments in the U.S. and global economies, examine their interactions, and develop specific policy proposals.

Milton and Rose Friedman: An Uncommon Couple